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Topic: Houston Texans - Week Six Analysis (Read 392 times) |
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Houston Texans - Week Six Analysis
« on: Oct 10th, 2002, 1:55pm » |
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Well, the Jets are on bye this week, so I can't do their analysis. I'll go back to the Texans...
The boys from Houston face the offensive juggernaut in the Buffalo Bills this weekend. The Texans have a fairly good secondary, so I expect them to somewhat limit the Buffalo offense (somewhat is the key term here) this week. See the Indianapolis game for comparable stats.
Luckily, for Texan fantasy owners, they also get to face one of the worst defenses in the league this week. Worse than the Colts (which is a stretch of the imagination). The Bills are giving up 350+ yards a game through the air, but a surprisingly low 80 yards a game on the ground. That, IMO, is probably because teams realize they can pass very effectively against the Bills, so they somewhat ignore the running game.
Quarterbacks
Each week that goes by gives David Carr more and more confidence in his wideouts and his own ability to make plays. The last game they played is a good example of this...Carr let loose for a couple of 30+ yard touchdown passes, breaking him of his tendency (as with most young quarterbacks) of dumping off the short passes instead of looking downfield. You can expect that the Bills secondary will look like chocolate cake to a Jenny Craig class...Carr won't be able to contain himself. That, unfortunately, might result in a few more mistakes this week from the cautious Carr, primarily from volume instead of carelessness.
David Carr 270 yards passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 20 yards rushing, 0 TD
Runningbacks
As stated above, the Bills have actually had a decent run defense, but I think that is more through neglect of their opposing teams versus talent on the defensive line. The Texans are a run first team, and I don't see them totally abandoning that theory this week, despite the weak secondary. As noted in the last game, the Texans are still RBBC, but it is a crapshoot as to whether Capers will go with the hot hand at RB if Wells or Allen get a good start. Given that, I probably would NOT start any Texan RB until the RBBC shakes out or unless you are really desperate.
James Allen 80 yards rushing, 0 TD, 40 yards receiving, 0 TD
Jonathan Wells 30 yards rushing, 1 TD, 10 yards receiving, 0 TD
Wide Receivers
A productive Carr means a good day for his favorite target, Corey Bradford. Gaffney is still somewhat in Carr's and Capers' doghouse for his inexperience in getting Carr out of jams (i.e. preventing INTs). However, both should have very good weeks as Carr opens up the passing game and connects for some mid-range passes.
Corey Bradford 9 catches, 100 yards receiving, 1 TD
Jabar Gaffney 7 catches, 80 yards receiving, 1 TD
Brian Miller (TE) 3 catches, 30 yards receiving, 0 TD
Overall, I expect an offensive display this week, but maybe a little less than the Bills are used to...
Bills 34, Texans 24
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Re: Houston Texans - Week Six Analysis
« Reply #1 on: Oct 15th, 2002, 3:08pm » |
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on Oct 10th, 2002, 1:55pm, Jetdoc wrote:
David Carr 270 yards passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 20 yards rushing, 0 TD
James Allen 80 yards rushing, 0 TD, 40 yards receiving, 0 TD
Jonathan Wells 30 yards rushing, 1 TD, 10 yards receiving, 0 TD
Corey Bradford 9 catches, 100 yards receiving, 1 TD
Jabar Gaffney 7 catches, 80 yards receiving, 1 TD
Brian Miller (TE) 3 catches, 30 yards receiving, 0 TD
Bills 34, Texans 24 |
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Well, another week goes by and another week where I come pretty close to nailing the predictions.
David Carr 218 yards passing, 1 TD, 0 INT, 50 yards rushing, 1 TD
I overestimated the number of yards Carr would get this week, but that is more than compensated for (fantasy wise) by his rushing yards and his rushing TD. I was very surprised to see Carr scramble so effectively...this may be a sign of things to come and may add an additional dimension to his QB skills (at least while he's young).
James Allen 21 yards rushing, 0 TD, -1 yards receiving, 0 TD, 5 yards passing, 1 TD
Jonathan Wells 70 yards rushing, 0 TD, 0 yards receiving, 0 TD
Well, I overestimated the Texans RB's receiving productivity, but for the most part (especially given Allen's halfback pass), their rushing productivity pretty much was in line with what I expected. The Texans indeed went more to the passing game to beat the Bills, and the Bills' rush defense was a little more stout than what I expected.
Corey Bradford 5 catches, 126 yards receiving, 1 TD
Jabar Gaffney 3 catches, 48 yards receiving, 1 TD
Brian Miller (TE) 3 catches, 17 yards receiving, 0 TD
The receivers did pretty much what I expected, though I was a little low on Bradford's yards and a little high on Gaffney's. Overall, a pretty productive day for the Texan receivers.
The final score was Bills 31, Texans 24. As the season progresses, I am getting a little more accurate and getting a very good feel for this team and their capabilities. Soon I'll be able to charge you guys for this stuff (just kidding....)
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