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        the Gridiron >> the Red Zone >>  New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
        
(Message started by: Jetdoc on Oct 3^rd, 2002, 3:27pm)

Title: New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
Post by Jetdoc on Oct 3^rd, 2002, 3:27pm

Well, the Texans are on bye so I'll take a shot at my other favorite expansion team - the J-E-T-S.

The Jets play a Kansas City defense that has given up the third highest points in the NFL (over 33 points a game). That bodes well for a Jets team that is struggling offensively (past week one, they've scored only 3 points in each game). This has caused Herm Edwards to announce major shakeups to the team (primarily because his job is in serious jeopardy), and more is expected this weekend in both the offense and the defense. It seems like he is leaning toward a TBBC (team by committee), where no starter is safe if he doesn't produce. That is a fantasy nightmare, but might actually work to cure some of NYJ's woes.

Quarterbacks

Chad Pennington has been named the starter for this week, and as a Jet fan I say "It's about focking time." Pennington looked horrible in camp and in preseason, which gives me some reservations about his abilities to lead an NFL team. He had a stellar game against Jacksonville last week (where he completed over 60% of his passes, got over 280 yards and only threw one INT). His 34 pass attempts, however, were more of a function of the seive of an defense that the Jets have. The Chiefs are the highest scoring offense in the league (at over 35 points per game), so Pennington should have to air it out this week as he did last week when the Jets fall behind early. That means very good fantasy stats this week for this rook. And that also means Vinny will continue to nurse his shoulder (and ego) this week on the pine.

Chad Pennington - 300 yards passing, 2 TD, 2 INT; 20 yards rushing, 0 TD

Vinny Testaverde - NOTHING (About focking time)

Running Backs

Much to my shagrin, the Jets have truly gone to a RBBC, which means that Martin is NOT 100% and Jordan is limited in his explosiveness as a 3rd down back. With Edwards' new TBBC philosophy, you can expect the Jets rushing attack to be RBBC this week as well. That, coupled with the fact that the Jets will be airing it out this week to come from behind, means that the running back productivity will have to come from the air or on draw plays. If the Jets rushers are going to be fantasy producers this week, it will have to be long plays and goalline leaps that will get them their points. That tends to favor Jordan over Martin this week.

Curtis Martin - 50 yards rushing, 0 TDs, 30 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Lamont Jordan - 40 yards rushing, 1 TD, 50 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Richie Anderson - 10 yards rushing, 0 TD, 30 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Wide Receivers

The Jets receivers are hurting with Chrebet being doubtful, meaning that Santana Moss is the #2 guy and Kevin Swayne will see some time at the #3. That means that Coles will see double coverage all day. That necessarily won't damper his receiving stats, as he should see plenty of action underneath as the Chiefs go to the prevent. That does limit his productivity on the long bombs, which has been his historical bread-n-butter.

Laverneous Coles - 8 catches, 70 yards, 1 TD

Santana Moss - 5 catches, 60 yards, 0 TD

Kevin Swayne - 3 catches, 30 yards, 0 TD

Tight Ends

I normally don't do tight ends, but with the injury to Chrebet, Becht should see some decent productivity this week, especially underneath when the prevent starts.

Anthony Becht - 7 receptions, 40 yards, 1 TD

Overall, I expect a high scoring game that will get out of control at first but will come closer towards the end...

Kansas City 44, New York Jets 27

Title: Re: New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
Post by ugley on Oct 3^rd, 2002, 5:23pm

:)Thanks Jetdoc. Mucho appreciat-o. If I may impose. I just fired Kennison and hired Coles. Good move or not? [smiley=hmmmm.gif]

Title: Re: New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
Post by Jetdoc on Oct 3^rd, 2002, 7:15pm

For right now, I would say yes. I have no faith in Kennison's ability to last a whole season, and I believe it is only a matter of time before Morton establishes himself as the go to guy over that farce. I believe that Coles will start to produce as the Jet offense starts producing...and the final admission that Testicleverde is NOT the answer is a step in the right direction for that to happen.

Title: Re: New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
Post by Brian Griese,s Dog on Oct 3^rd, 2002, 10:50pm

[smiley=smileythumbsup.gif]

Title: Re: New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
Post by StegRock on Oct 6^th, 2002, 8:29am

I am gonna' one-up ya' there, [smiley=dog.gif] ...

[smiley=smileythumbsup.gif] [smiley=smileythumbsup.gif]

Thanks, Jetdoc, for not takin' the week off even though the Texans have one. You are tireless = ~[smiley=tired.gif] !

Title: Re: New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
Post by Jetdoc on Oct 8^th, 2002, 2:05pm

on 10/03/02 at 15:27:30, Jetdoc wrote:

Chad Pennington - 300 yards passing, 2 TD, 2 INT; 20 yards rushing, 0 TD

Vinny Testaverde - NOTHING (About focking time)

Curtis Martin - 50 yards rushing, 0 TDs, 30 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Lamont Jordan - 40 yards rushing, 1 TD, 50 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Richie Anderson - 10 yards rushing, 0 TD, 30 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Laverneous Coles - 8 catches, 70 yards, 1 TD

Santana Moss - 5 catches, 60 yards, 0 TD

Kevin Swayne - 3 catches, 30 yards, 0 TD

Anthony Becht - 7 receptions, 40 yards, 1 TD

Kansas City 44, New York Jets 27

Well, I overestimated the Chiefs' success this week, but came pretty close to the Jets' offensive productivity...you should have heard me screaming at the TV on the Chiefs' last drive. Chiefs 29, Jets 25.

Chad Pennington - 245 yards passing, 2 TD, 1 INT; 3 yards rushing, 0 TD

Vinny Testaverde - NOTHING (About focking time)

Pretty close, although Pennington's passing yards were a little lower than I expected since the Chiefs never got more than a touchdown lead.

Curtis Martin - 119 yards rushing, 1 TDs, 25 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Lamont Jordan - 1 yard rushing, 0 TD

Richie Anderson - 16 yards rushing, 0 TD, 5 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Well, obviously the story here is the return of Curtis Martin to apparently full health. Because of that, Martin received all of the rushing attempts this weekend...but his stats are comparable to the combined stats I was predicting for both RB's combined. No consolation to those of you who started Jordan or benched Martin, however.

Laverneous Coles - 8 catches, 116 yards, 0 TD

Santana Moss - 5 catches, 65 yards, 1 TD

Kevin Swayne - 2 catches, 32 yards, 0 TD

Anthony Becht - 1 reception, 2 yards, 1 TD

I was eerily on point with my predictions here, except that Moss caught Coles' TD, but Coles got 46 more yards to make up the FF difference. The Jets wideouts will succeed only when Pennington does, and that means that owners should lower their expectations when they face formidable pass defenses.

Title: Re: New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
Post by Razzak on Oct 8^th, 2002, 10:33pm

Hey Jet, how long before you guys fire Hackett? If you're looking for an upgrade, I think most of the people on this board are looking for an NFL job.

Seriously, I pity the Jets. Just as I pitied USC when Hackett was there.

Title: Re: New York Jets - Week 5 Analysis
Post by Jetdoc on Oct 10^th, 2002, 1:41pm

on 10/08/02 at 22:33:48, Razzak wrote:

Hackett is officially awful. With the talent they have on defense, I can't see them being one of the worst defenses in the league. They look totally uncoordinated and are completely out of control. I expect that when Edwards starts to feel some serious heat (which he is already starting to), Hackett will be the first casualty.