Fantasyfootballer.com's Gridiron (https://www.fantasyfootballer.com/cgi-bin/theGridiron/YaBB.cgi)
the Gridiron >> the Red Zone >> Houston Texans - Week Nine Analysis
(Message started by: Jetdoc on Nov 2nd, 2003, 11:13am)

Title: Houston Texans - Week Nine Analysis
Post by Jetdoc on Nov 2nd, 2003, 11:13am
Sorry this is so late in coming guys - I've been swamped at work and will probably be next week as well.

The Texans face the highly one-dimensional Carolina Panthers this week, in a homecoming for coach Dom Capers.  The Texans come off a near upset of the Indianapolis Colts last week, in which the Houston media has been all over their offensive coordinator for being too conservative in the playcalling.  I expect Houston's passing game to reopen this week against a weak Carolina secondary.

QB

David Carr is out this week with an ankle sprain, but it sounds like he will almost definitely play next week.  Tony Banks gets the nod over Dave Ragone (which is a bit controversial in Houston, given that the Texans' have an interest in showing off Ragone as future trade bait).  Banks is an oldie but goodie, and you would expect the Texans to run, run, run with Banks in there, given that he's rusty and old.  Errr...wrong.  I expect the Texans to open up their passing attack this week,.  This DOESN'T make Banks a viable option, however, because I expect a good number of INTs this week, and if the Texans get too far behind they may make the switch to Ragone.

Tony Banks - 180 yards passing, 1 TD, 2 INTs; 20 yards rushing, 0 TDs

Dave Ragone - 80 yards passing, 0 TDs, 1 INT; 0 yards rushing, 0 TDs

RB

Domanick Davis is quickly becoming the Clinton Portis of 2003, and for good reason.  This kid not only has speed and elusiveness...he also knows how to take a hit and not go down to get that few extra yards.  His receiving skills out of the backfield are a huge plus as well.  Mack is no longer seeing the goalline looks, either, so Davis is a bonafide starter.  This week, however, he goes up against a very stout Carolina run D, so Davis' stats are almost solely going to come off of dumpoffs in the flats.  I would be skeptical of starting Davis this week for that reason, unless you have no other option.

Domanick Davis - 40 yards rushing, 0 TDs; 60 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Stacey Mack - 10 yards rushing, 0 TDs; 0 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Tony Hollings - 20 yards rushing, 0 TDs; 10 yards receiving, 0 TDs

WR

This group should be the beneficiary of the Texans' air attack this week.  They have been silent the past couple of weeks against very solid pass D's, disappointing many fantasy owners.  This week should make up for those weeks, however, as the Texans open up their offense to exploit the Carolina D.  I would expect Billy Miller to get a fair share of those catches, as backup QB's tend to lean towards TE's as their emergency options.

Andre Johnson - 7 catches, 100 yards, 0 TDs
Jabar Gaffney - 3 catches, 30 yards, 0 TDs
Corey Bradford - 2 catches, 50 yards, 0 TDs
Billy Miller (TE) - 4 catches, 30 yards, 1 TD

Overall I expect a dominating performance by Carolina, but not a huge blowout....

Panthers 27, Houston 16

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Nine Analysis
Post by DirkDiggler on Nov 2nd, 2003, 11:24am
Thanks as always for the info.  I knew nothing about Ragone controversy.  ASo the Texans are trying to trade TWO QB's?  Henson AND Ragone?  

Pretty smart move by Casserly!!

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Nine Analysis
Post by Jetdoc on Nov 3rd, 2003, 8:12pm

on 11/02/03 at 11:13:34, Jetdoc wrote:
Tony Banks - 180 yards passing, 1 TD, 2 INTs; 20 yards rushing, 0 TDs

Dave Ragone - 80 yards passing, 0 TDs, 1 INT; 0 yards rushing, 0 TDs


Tony Banks - 154 yards passing, 1 TD, 0 INTs; 12 yards rushing, 0 TDs

Well, the Texans kept the game close at all times (and wound up winning), which eliminated the change that Ragone would see some action.  Banks performed as I expected, however, except he was surprisingly error-free.  David Carr is expected back next week, so you guys don't have to worry about picking up Banks anytime soon.


on 11/02/03 at 11:13:34, Jetdoc wrote:
Domanick Davis - 40 yards rushing, 0 TDs; 60 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Stacey Mack - 10 yards rushing, 0 TDs; 0 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Tony Hollings - 20 yards rushing, 0 TDs; 10 yards receiving, 0 TDs


Domanick Davis - 74 yards rushing, 0 TDs; -3 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Stacey Mack - 26 yards rushing, 1 TD; 0 yards receiving, 0 TDs

Tony Hollings - 6 yards rushing, 0 TDs; 0 yards receiving, 0 TDs

The big story here in Houston is Domanick Davis' injury...he was definitely on his way to another 100 yard performance before he was knocked out in the 4th quarter with a pectoral injury.  The Houston Chronicle reports that it is just a bruise and Davis has said that he will return next week.  This causes some injury concerns for Davis owners, especially since he missed most of the preseason and a game earlier this year due to injury.  If the KFFL reports are true (about a TORN pectoral muscle), this may be bad...but I personally think that KFFL misquoted the Chronicle.  Stacey Mack surprisingly saw all of the replacement minutes, which is NOT a good sign for Hollings owners.


on 11/02/03 at 11:13:34, Jetdoc wrote:
Andre Johnson - 7 catches, 100 yards, 0 TDs
Jabar Gaffney - 3 catches, 30 yards, 0 TDs
Corey Bradford - 2 catches, 50 yards, 0 TDs
Billy Miller (TE) - 4 catches, 30 yards, 1 TD


Andre Johnson - 4 catches, 64 yards, 0 TDs
Jabar Gaffney - 3 catches, 30 yards, 0 TDs
Corey Bradford - 0 catches, 0 yards, 0 TDs
Billy Miller (TE) - 4 catches, 58 yards, 1 TD

Wow - I predicted Miller's stats pretty accurately this week, as Banks predictably looked his way very often as his dumpoff valve.  Old habits die hard.  Johnson had a decent game, but subpar.  Bradford had a 50 yard strike in his hands and let it drop...the coaches may start to lose patience with their burner if he continues to blow open looks.


on 11/02/03 at 11:13:34, Jetdoc wrote:
Panthers 27, Houston 16


Panthers 10, Houston 14

Got the Houston points down, but was VERY surprised at the Texans' defense ability to shut down the Panthers in the redzone.  This could've easily have been a loss if the Panthers could convert inside the 20 - but the Texans showed some surprising resilence.  GO TEXANS!!!!

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Nine Analysis
Post by Philly on Nov 4th, 2003, 11:34am
Great work jetdoc.

The scary thing is that Stacey Mack ran the ball 15 times to get those 26 yards.  Ouch!  They definitely need DDavis back.  Hope it's just a bruise as you surmise.

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Nine Analysis
Post by captainpurple on Nov 4th, 2003, 5:10pm
right on!  good to see we have someone tuned into the Texans so well.  Thanks for the insight!



Fantasyfootballer.com's Gridiron » Powered by YaBB 1 Gold - SP 1.1!
YaBB © 2000-2002,
Xnull. All Rights Reserved.