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        the Gridiron >> the Red Zone >>  Houston Texans - Week Twelve Analysis
        
(Message started by: Jetdoc on Nov 20^th, 2003, 1:30pm)

Title: Houston Texans - Week Twelve Analysis
Post by Jetdoc on Nov 20^th, 2003, 1:30pm

The Texans face the luckiest rag-tag group of players in the NFL right now in the New England Patsies. The Patriots are playing out of their mind and way beyond their talent, which is a huge credit to Bill Belichick's coaching ability. The Patriots' offense is a lackluster group, but should come alive against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Patriots defense should also have a field day against a Carr-less Texans group.

QB

David Carr will not play this week, which means that Tony Banks gets the chance to pull a rabbit out of his hat again against a heavily favored Patriot defense. Banks performed exceptionally well against the Carolina defense by not making mistakes, but his fantasy numbers were nothing to write home about. The Texans' QB situation is not worth worrying about this week.

Tony Banks - 160 yards passing, 1 TD, 0 INTs; 10 yards rushing, 0 TDs

RB

Domanick Davis is coming off two down games against tough defenses, but has managed to put up almost 100 combined yards in each of those games. The Patriots should test his ability even further. Given that Banks will be tossing the rock this week, you can expect that Davis will see many flat passes, which should benefit his total yardage. If you have a better scoring option this week, go with them...otherwise you can expect a similar performance out of Davis this week as the past couple of weeks.

Domanick Davis - 60 yards rushing, 0 TDs; 40 yards rushing, 0 TDs

Stacey Mack and Tony Hollings - negligble stats

WR

The fact that Banks is under center will help both Andre Johnson and Billy Miller this week - his favorite targets by far. That means that Gaffney and Bradford should disappear this week. I would be hesitant to start Johnson as well, given that Banks will not see many passing yards this week, even if most of them are going to Johnson. Billy Miller is a very good start this week for deep TE leagues, however.

Andre Johnson - 4 catches, 50 yards, 0 TDs
Jabar Gaffney - 1 catch, 10 yards, 0 TDs
Corey Bradford - 1 catch, 10 yards, 0 TDs
Billy Miller - 4 catches, 50 yards, 1 TD

Overall, I expect the Patsies will control most of the clock this week, but won't absolutely destroy the Texans...

Houston 16, Patriots 30

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Twelve Analysis
Post by Philly on Nov 21^st, 2003, 9:43am

Do you really think the Pats put 30 on the board against a decent Texans defense? I have this one slated more as a 17-10 Pats win. Good analyses on the players. I'd love to see Andre Johnson get a little more, but as an owner, I'm biased. ;)

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Twelve Analysis
Post by bakes781 on Nov 21^st, 2003, 10:10am

Sorry but I have to take offense to the notion that the Patriots are "LUCKY". I suppose we were LUCKY to have won the Super Bowl 2 seasons ago also? We're so LUCKY that we were given the toughest schedule in the 1st half of this season. So LUCKY that we lost our stud FA Colvin along with the loss of Milloy, Patten & our starting center for the season. I know your feelings are probably shared by most football fans around the country. And I know you're complimenting Belichick's performance, but it's a slap in the face when you say "they are playing out of their mind & beyond their talent." They have beaten the Titans, Cowboys, Dolphins, Eagles & Broncos. That's not LUCK.

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Twelve Analysis
Post by Jetdoc on Nov 21^st, 2003, 11:33am

bakes - I'm a JET fan. ;D

Philly - you have to realize that the Texans defense is NOT decent...

- They rank 31st out of 32 defenses in the NFL
- They are the 4th worst rushing defense, giving up over 140 yards per game.
- They are the 5th worst passing defense, giving up almost 240 yards per game.
- They have the 4th worst points against in the league, averaging over 25 points per game.

Unless the Pats absolutely suck this week, and with their defense forcing the Texans into many 3-and-outs, I would expect the Pats will get ample opportunity to score...and score often.

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Twelve Analysis
Post by captainpurple on Nov 21^st, 2003, 12:33pm

on 11/21/03 at 10:10:36, bakes781 wrote:

They have beaten the Titans, Cowboys, Dolphins, Eagles & Broncos. That's not LUCK.

Can't argue that. There's something to be said for catching a team at the right time (see Vikes vs Denver), but you can't beat all those teams on luck alone.

I maintain my opinion from earlier, NE is the dark horse this year who will win deep into the playoffs. At this time, my AFC playoff bracket:

NE - AFC East
Cincy - AFC North
Tenn - AFC South
KC - AFC West
Indy - W1
Denver - W2

NE vs Cin = NE
Indy vs DEN = DEN

DEN vs KC = KC
NE vs TEN = NE

KC vs NE = KC

Title: Re: Houston Texans - Week Twelve Analysis
Post by bakes781 on Nov 21^st, 2003, 12:44pm

Cincy wins the North? :o I like the Ravens right now. BTW nice to see you're back CP.