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the Gridiron >> the Red Zone >> CaptainPurple's Help Thread
(Message started by: captainpurple on Sep 27th, 2006, 10:52am)

Title: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Sep 27th, 2006, 10:52am
12 team 1-Keeper PPR league.  

Roster
QB - Delhomme, Romo
RB - LJ, Chester Taylor, Fred Taylor, Reggie Bush, Marion Barber III
WR - Steve Smith, Roy Williams, Terry Glenn
TE - Kellen Winslow, Benjamin Watson
K - Jeff Wilkins
D - Jacksonville, Miami

The Question
Heath Miller just hit the wire.  Clark is competing against a ton of weapons in Indy.  I've heard the Colts say they want to involve Clark more, and so far he's got 2 TDs in 3 games.   That's pretty good for a TE, but if Big Ben hits a stride, will Miller surpass Clark?  Should I drop Clark for Miller?   Remember, this is a PPR league.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by StegRock on Sep 27th, 2006, 5:11pm
Pardon my ignorance, but what is a "PPR League"?

Whatever it is, though, I think you are spinning your gears with, probably, little consequence.  I think it'll be about six of one, half dozen of the other with these two.  I say if you "like" one of these guys, go with him.  To me, that's a BIG part of making fantasy football fun.  I'd rather win than lose, for sure.  But, it's so much sweeter to win with guys you like.  And, if I go down, I definitely do NOT want it to be with a bunch of punks I really don't even like to root for.  I definitely want to go down "swinging" with "my guys".  In fact, I think that is the definition of "going down swinging", namely to be doing so with guys you like.  Bottom line, see what feedback you get here, but I wouldn't spin your wheels too much on this one, cp.  Good luck! [smiley=shammy.gif]

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by Callie on Sep 27th, 2006, 8:04pm
PPR means Points Per Reception.  The question is if Miller will get enough receptions to trump Clark in his many-hands offense.

Big Ben likes to check down to Miller.  I'd go with Heath!

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by The Juror on Sep 27th, 2006, 8:46pm
I like Clark and have him in one of my leagues.  He will get you TD's, but he isn't really a 5 or 6 catch kind of TE, where Miller could have the probability for more catches.  No more Bus and the red zone becomes more of Miller Time.
Can you keep both??

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by prm on Sep 27th, 2006, 9:14pm
maybe i'm missin' something but i don't see the choice here as being difficult...yes - any indy rec. is potentially high gain - but folks have gone gray hopin it was their boy week to week...heath is gonna get looks AND throws - whe he doesn't it's more of an anomaly than w/ the other situation...but that's just what i think i've observed...i'd do the deal...
good luck, mate...
prm... [smiley=thumbsup.gif]

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Oct 4th, 2006, 1:03pm
Hey kids, quandry for week 5:

Need 2 of these 3 RBs.   standard ppr league (1pt/20 ru, 1pt/rec, 1pt/20 rec)


Chester Taylor vs. DET
Clinton Portis @ NYG
Reggie Bush vs. TB

I'm thinking of benching Reggie, who is having a big impact, but still hasn't found the EZ.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by Philly on Oct 4th, 2006, 2:14pm

on 10/04/06 at 13:03:51, captainpurple wrote:
Hey kids, quandry for week 5:

Need 2 of these 3 RBs.   standard ppr league (1pt/20 ru, 1pt/rec, 1pt/20 rec)


Chester Taylor vs. DET
Clinton Portis @ NYG
Reggie Bush vs. TB

I'm thinking of benching Reggie, who is having a big impact, but still hasn't found the EZ.


That's what I'd do. Both Detroit and New York can be run on and Reggie is sharing carries.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by Oakland4life on Oct 4th, 2006, 2:16pm
Yea, personally I think this is a no-brainer.  I also own reggie and have had him on my bench all season.  Chester and Portis are definately your studs and even though TB sucks this year, they are coming off of a bye, and looking for blood this week.

Chester has a great matchup against the Lions, and Portis will be working extra hard this week against their division foes.  Stick with your studs this week.

O4L

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by StegRock on Oct 5th, 2006, 5:22pm
I fourth the "motion". [smiley=coolit.gif]

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Oct 6th, 2006, 12:45pm
thanks guys, one more WDIS for the week:


WR-pick 3 (TE is same as a WR):
Gates vs. PIT
Brown vs. DAL
Bruce @ GB
Toomer vs. WAS

I'm leaning Brown, Bruce & Toomer, but I see a lot of prognosticators saying Gates will have a big game.  I just don't see it vs. PIT....anyone?

RB-pick3
Portis @ NYG
Chester Taylor vs. DET
Caddy @ NO
Addai vs. TEN

I'm leaning Portis, Taylor and Addai.  Again, seen some   [smiley=crystalball.gif] stating Caddy should have a nice game.  Even saw a couple predict 100 + and a score!  I don't see it, but thought I'd ping you guys.

Thanks!

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by prm on Oct 6th, 2006, 1:30pm
[smiley=coach.gif]...y'know what? i'm diggin gates this week as well...i think pitt's gonna be worrying about lt...
so at receiver i like:
gates / bruce / brown - (nyg history after off week is scary - if you're the superstitious type...)
@ rb:
addai / portis / taylor...(but i'm on the SAINTS' kool-aid)...[smiley=dancin.gif]
good luck mate,
prm...

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by Philly on Oct 6th, 2006, 2:36pm
I love Bruce this week. Toomer has been getting all the points while Plaxico draws all the coverage, so that could continue. I think it's a toss-up between Gates and Brown. I think the Eagles really spread the ball around this week, so Brown may not get the bulk of the catches. I'd actually lean toward Gates.

For the RBs, I think all of them are nice choices, so I'd go with the ones not in an RBBC.  I like Caddy a bit better than Addai this weekend.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by StegRock on Oct 6th, 2006, 3:33pm
At RB, I think you are right.  Don't listen to the "others".  At RC, I would make the same change Philly suggests (especially because it is our Eagles guy making the recommendation).  I'd pull Brown for Gates.  Gates is due, and if Pittsburgh can be had anywhere it's through the passing game, moreover, with an elusively-used tight-end.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by kec6906 on Oct 7th, 2006, 10:49am
#1 Taylor & Portis (Reggie getting some yards but still not getting any scores)

Ditto - Bruce, Toomer, Gates

Ditto - Portis, Taylor, Addai (i think Indy will get up so big that even if Rhodes starts Addai will be in there for plenty of carries and prob a score or 2)

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Oct 18th, 2006, 12:56pm
Going into Week 7, I'm thinking of grabbing Jeramy Stevens and dropping Heath Miller.  Even with Big Ben finally getting a groove on vs. KC, Miller didn't seem to be a big factor.   Meanwhile, Stevens is coming back to a SEA team throwing like crazy, and the next 6 weeks opponents:  MIN, @KC, OAK, STL, @SF & GB....needless to say, I like the offensive SEA potential coming up.    Same stint for MIller: @ATL, @OAK, DEN, NO, @CLE, @BAL...probably only 2 nice matchups in there.

thoughts?  

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by THFC on Oct 18th, 2006, 2:49pm
The Steelers are getting back to their game plan.....running the ball and letting Ben pass 15 - 17 times....a few of those downfield.  Miller will have minimal value going forward....sure, he may have a nice game here or there, but will not be consistent.  I like the Stevens choice over Miller, because at least Seattle will pass a lot, and he will get in the mix as teams concentrate on D. Jax and Branch.  Who else is available though?

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by MordecaiCourage on Oct 18th, 2006, 4:42pm
I see this differently of course.... ;D

DJAX....Branch......Engram.......Burleson!!!! When will Hasselbeck get a chance to even look Jeremy's way? Also the return of Alexander in a couple weeks will shift the balance back to the run game. In Stevens' absence, Mili didn't even translate into fantasy value. Why? Is he that much worse a receiver than Stevens? I don't think so. I think that the TE in Seattle will be used as a blocker in many throwing situations involving 3 and 4 receiver sets because of the talent they have at WR. Who would you spread out there? I'll bet Holmgren splits out his stable of WR's.

The reemergence of Big Ben will help Miller's numbers a little...but you've seen what he's been able to do even with 3 or 4 catches right. He seems to be a big play TE when given the chance. Just something to think about CP.  ;D

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Oct 18th, 2006, 6:14pm
thanks MC, but I find it hard to take a PACKER fan  [smiley=sick.gif] seriously when I just beat him 69-0 in the GBRFL2

:o :o :o :o :o [smiley=assinface.gif]


 [smiley=rollinwithlaughter.gif] seriously, I appreciate the input.  hadn't thought of it from the Mili angle.   [smiley=thumbsup.gif] [smiley=bow.gif]

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by MordecaiCourage on Oct 18th, 2006, 6:20pm
ouch

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by StegRock on Oct 18th, 2006, 6:40pm
If Heath Miller is the only tight-end you got, I'd try to get my hands on Stevens, but not drop Miller in the process, and then cross my fingers [smiley=fingerscrossed.gif] and start hoping [smiley=pray.gif] for the best.  While I see whence MC is coming, for sure, Engram may be out of the mix... for the remainder of the season, and Burleson, the Seahawks are going to come to realize as if they haven't already, isn't really that good, and that they've wasted a ton of money on him.  He's a #3 NFL wideout and kind of a poor man's one at that.  Stevens I see eventually being third on the totem pole... behind Branch and Jackson.  Mili was relegated to fourth or fifth heretofore... behind Jackson, Engram, who had been healthy, Burleson, who they were trying to "believe in", and Branch for a game, and also a participating Shaun Alexander for three games in the backfield, who, granted, will be back (to full-speed) in probably a month.  Right at this very moment, I like Miller more, but they are pretty close in my book,... so, in that sense, I say two "Millers/Stevenses" is better than one (that is, if you don't have a Gonzalez, Crumpler, Gates, Shockey, Heap...).  Good luck! [smiley=shammy.gif]

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Nov 3rd, 2006, 10:32am
Got a WDIS question at my RB spot this week.  I've updated the roster above.

I start 3, and already have Larry Johnson and Chester Taylor starting.   Need 1 more of:

Fred Taylor vs. TEN
Clinton Portis vs. DAL
Reggie Bush @ TB

I'm leaning Taylor, but that little frickin'   [smiley=flipa.gif]  Drew keeps stealing TDs.   Portis vs. Dallas doesn't look like a good matchup to me.  I think the Cowgirls will get up early and force WAS away from the run.  Plus, Portis has an ankle injury  [smiley=injury.gif].   Bush is banged up too, but going against a suprisingly poor TB run D.  

Thoughts?

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by Philly on Nov 3rd, 2006, 11:59am
I'd take a chance on Portis this week. It's a division game and Washington is coming off a bye and is in desperation mode. Portis put up 100+ yards the last time he faced Dallas (December 2005).

I like Taylor, but, like you said, Mo Drew is getting far too many of his scoring chances.

I'd avoid Bush completely, despite his heroics the last time he faced TB.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by THFC on Nov 3rd, 2006, 1:53pm
I'll second Philly's suggestion of Portis.  Taylor has been giving way to Drew, esp. in the TD department, and Bush's ankle is not a good sign for him this week.  Portis is the one who could really put up some good numbers this week - and he also can get you receiving yards too.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by Callie on Nov 3rd, 2006, 11:35pm
I agree.  Portis may be spelled by Betts, but this game is too important to do that if they don't have to.  Too many studs are down or partial already.  Fragile Fred has a mild hammy, and they may save him from the chance of further injury in an easy match-up.  Bush is risk/reward.  Deuce should get the bulk, except for possible receiving and break-out stuff, which isn't reliable for FF.  Who knows if or when.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Nov 4th, 2006, 12:30pm
This consensus is really suprising me!   I posted this as a confirmation, mostly, and now I'm really confused.   My WDIS is basically down to Fred Taylor vs. TEN or Portis vs DAL

Here's my logic against Portis:  

1) Titans have allowed almost twice the points to RB as the Cowboys.
2) Portis has a high ankle sprain
3) Dallas is allowing < 90 yds/gm.  TEN is allowing > 162 ypg
4) Previous meeting this year (Week 2, no Portis), Dallas got up early and WAS only managed 64 yds to the RBs (not TDs)
5) Cowboys have only allowed > 90 yards once all year.

The only con I'm coming up with on Taylor :

1) Maurice Jones-Drew


But it's a BIG con.    Still, I can't ignore all the above.  And with Santana Moss out, I don't know that Brunell and the Skins are going to be able to do ANYTHING?


Please, someone help me out and give me something to hang my hat on with the pro-Portis sentiment.  So far, I just have a really tough time going in the face of all this analysis and starting Portis.   Am I putting too much into my thought here?

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by StegRock on Nov 5th, 2006, 12:21am
Dude,... I would definitely go with Taylor as per your initial gut feeling...  But, I don't think Portis is as bad of a play as you might be thinking.  You've got two good choices as I see it (as you too could at StegsList.com (http://www.stegslist.com)).  But, I'd go with Taylor... and that's not even to mention Portis's ankle injury, which does need to be tracked and taken into consideration (this week)... although I, personally, am banking on its not keeping him from being "untracked" (hate that seemingly paradoxical term) this week.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Nov 9th, 2006, 6:09pm
WEEK 10

and I'm back with my omnipresent Fred Taylor vs. Clinton Portis conundrum.   I'm starting LJ, and Chester Taylor, need a 3rd RB.  This week its:

Taylor vs. HOU
Portis @ PHI

OK, so am I remiss in starting Chester Taylor?  This is a ppr league, so I get  3-5 pts a week from him with catches (last week it was 8!!).  I think I have to leave him in there vs. a very poor GB defense.

So now it's Taylor and Portis again.  I was burned last week as Portis, who got stuffed as I thought he would for the entire game save 1 play, managed that 38 yds TD.   Taylor goes against an easy rush D this week.  WAS secondary is so bad that I just can't imagine a scenario where PHI isn't up in this game quickly, rendering Portis somewhat moot.

Thoughts?

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by steelkings on Nov 9th, 2006, 6:45pm
I dont think I would assume that Philly is gonna jump on anyone quickly. There seems to be  bad football karma in PA these days. I also dont think that Houston is all that bad. With that said i think you should play your boy and root like hell. Taylor is the best choice.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by Callie on Nov 9th, 2006, 8:57pm
I like Portis over Fred Taylor.  

The Redskins O-line is doing better against run D's.  And although I agree that Portis could be taken out of things if WAS has to keep up and that McNabb faces a bad pass D he can beat, WAS has passing game problems and the Eagles' blitz, so may need the run a lot.

As for Fred, Houston is doing pretty good against the run, and the Houston pass D is bad.  And the Jags have that basketball team of receivers.  I think the Jags will do it with the pass.

I like LJ, Chester, and Portis.

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by StegRock on Nov 12th, 2006, 6:21am
Yea, I'm with Callie.  I'd go with the old "cycles" theory with this one and go with Portis over Taylor by a hair.  But, it is a VERY close call. [smiley=uponreview.gif]

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Nov 16th, 2006, 10:54pm
well....don't have to worry about the Portis conundrum anymore!   :-/

I've updated my roster on top of this thread, but here it is again anyway.  

Roster
QB - Delhomme, Romo
RB - LJ, Chester Taylor, Fred Taylor, Reggie Bush, Marion Barber III
WR - Steve Smith, Roy Williams, Terry Glenn
TE - Kellen Winslow, Benjamin Watson
K - Jeff Wilkins
D - Jacksonville, Miami

We start 1 QB, 2 WR, 2 RB, 1 WR/RB, 1 WR/TE, 1 TE, K, D/ST

I have to start LJ and probably Bush, but do I really start Taylor @ MIA?  I grabbed Barber III off the WW, and he looks to have a very nice matchup vs. IND, but will Dallas keep this game close enough for Barber to get his shots?   And with Romo and Glenn already on the roster, can I afford to start 2 Dallas position players in Glenn and Barber  III ??

Anyway, help would be much appreciated.  I'm pretty lost on this one.   I'm leaning toward LJ, Bush and Barber III to start at RB.  Then go with Delhomme vs. STL for QB, and leave Glenn in at WR, hoping one of them gets a score.  If neither does, I could really be sunk.

Thoughts?

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by captainpurple on Nov 18th, 2006, 9:07am
bump...

Title: Re: CaptainPurple's Help Thread
Post by StegRock on Nov 19th, 2006, 4:33am
I'm "old-fashioned".  I say go with Taylor.



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