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   WINDOWS 2004 - Houston Texans
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Philly
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WINDOWS 2004 - Houston Texans
« on: Jul 16th, 2004, 10:18am »
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No, this isn't a new Microsoft operating system release.  This is your opportunity to share your statistical "windows" for players on each of the NFL teams.  Our fearless leader, StegRock, refers to these statistical ranges as "windows" and, to show, due deference, I will continue that modus operandi.    
   
Every few days as we lead up to the regular season, I'll post a new team.  Put your estimated 2004 statistics for players on that team in the thread.  If enough people participate, these threads should produce some pretty helpful information for player rankings leading up to your drafts.    
   
Feel free to give windows for as many players as you feel confident.  If you play IDP, go ahead and include some defensive player statistics as well.  You can just list the player with the windows or you can give reasons for your rankings as well.  Discussions of others' rankings are welcome too.  
 
Be sure to scroll down the list and find the Windows for other teams and contribute there as well!
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Philly
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Re: WINDOWS 2004 - Houston Texans
« Reply #1 on: Jul 16th, 2004, 10:25am »
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QB
David Carr: 3400-3600 PaYds, 22-24 TDs, 17-19 INTs
Carr has made significant strides in each of his 2 years in the NFL.  Houston has improved the offense and Carr should continue to improve.  Draft him as your #2 FF QB with confidence.
 
RBs
Domanick Davis: 1100-1300 RuYds, 10-11 TDs, 350-450 ReYds, 2-3 TDs
Tony Hollings: 350-350 Ru Yds, 1-3 TDs
The only concern with DD is his ability to withstand the pounding.  He can run and catch and is a late first to early second round FF pick.
 
WRs
Andre Johnson: 1100-1300 ReYds, 9-10 TDs
Jabar Gaffney: 700-800 ReYds, 5-6 TDs
Corey Bradford: 500-650 ReYds, 2-3 TDs
Houston has assembled a very nice WR corps with Johnson being the stud of the bunch.  Look for Gaffney to make an impact in this, his third, NFL season.
 
TE
Billy Miller: 400-450 ReYds, 4-5 TDs
Miller failed to continue his successful 2002 season last year, but should still be a decent TE with big-play potential.
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Stegfucius
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Re: WINDOWS 2004 - Houston Texans
« Reply #2 on: Jul 18th, 2004, 3:55pm »
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QB
David Carr - 3000 - 3300 yards, 15 - 21 touchdowns passing & some rushing, max 200 yards, 3 touchdowns
 
RB
Domanick Davis - 1200 - 1450 yards, 10 - 14 touchdowns rushing & 350 - 450 yards, 1 - 3 touchdowns receiving
I'm sold!  I think this guy is the real deal!
 
WR
Andre Johnson - 1050 - 1200 yards, 7 - 10 touchdowns receiving
Jabar Gaffney - 550 - 800 yards, 3 - 6 touchdowns receiving
Corey Bradford (time to give up) - 350 - 500 yards, 2 - 4 touchdowns receiving
 
TE
Billy Miller - 450 - 650 yards, 4 - 7 touchdowns receiving
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Jetdoc
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Re: WINDOWS 2004 - Houston Texans
« Reply #3 on: Aug 18th, 2004, 12:05am »
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QB
 
David Carr 3,500 PaYds, 24 TDs, 22 INTs
 
The breakout season from Carr may never materialize.  He'll be an efficient QB that will get the long ball to his WR's, but his judgment still isn't the best in the world, which deflates his fantasy value.
 
RB
 
Domanick Davis 1,200 RuYds, 15 TDs, 300 ReYds, 2 TDs
 
Domanick is gonna have one heck of a year, but won't achieve his goal of 2,000 yards.  With the release of Stacey Mack, Dominator will be the only rushing option in the redzone for the Texans, which will dramatically improve his TDs.
 
Tony Hollings 400 RuYds, 2 TDs, 200 ReYds, 1 TD
 
Hollings will see some time as a change of pace back for the Texans, but won't make a significant dent in Davis' numbers, other than stealing some yardage away from the workhorse.
 
WR
 
Andre Johnson 1,200 ReYds, 10 TDs
 
Andre is Carr's favorite target, and he'll see 5-6 receptions a game before it is all said and done.  Look for some "jump balls" in the endzone this year where Johnson will get to display his athletic ability for the first time.
 
Jabar Gaffney 1,000 ReYds, 4 TDs
 
As I said in the other thread, Gaffney is one of my deep sleeper picks this year.  Gaffney is a naturally gifted WR that has a head for the game, and his relationship with Carr has really developed in the offseason.  I think this third year WR is one that is very overlooked.
 
Corey Bradford 400 ReYds, 3 TDs
 
Bradford is a homerun threat, but that is it.  He'll have 2-3 deep TD catches this year, but that'll be all that this well will produce.
 
TE
 
Billy Miller 400 Re Yds, 4 TDs
 
Miller fell off the face of the earth last year, but some offseason changes promise to return Miller to his 2002 levels.  Not a bad backup TE for 2004.
 
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Stegfucius
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Re: WINDOWS 2004 - Houston Texans
« Reply #4 on: Aug 18th, 2004, 3:43am »
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I DIGRESS...
    Jet,
     
    1) As per the title of this thread, predictions are supposed to be made in "WINDOWS" format, a trademarkish precedent we are trying to establish on "the Gridiron", as Jeff explains in the initial post of the thread.
     
    2) Houston produces TWO 1,000-yard receivers this year. From none to two...  No way!
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Jetdoc
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Re: WINDOWS 2004 - Houston Texans
« Reply #5 on: Aug 18th, 2004, 10:08am »
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Well, then add 1 to my predictions and you'll have a range...
 
Seriously, I really think that Houston has the ability to produce two 1,000 yard WR's this year.  I'm pretty sure that most are predicting that AJohn will have in excess of 1,000 yards, so you're really commenting solely on my Gaffney prediction.
 
As I said in previous posts, I think this kid has the ability to "breakout" this year and surpass Bradford as the true #2 WR on the team.  Bradford was only on the field for 1-2 downs each series last year, while Gaffney was on the field the entire time.
 
Last year I was pretty much on the money with my predictions (except for Stacey Mack...who was unexpectedly supplanted by DDavis), so don't be so quick to discount them...
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Stegfucius
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Re: WINDOWS 2004 - Houston Texans
« Reply #6 on: Aug 18th, 2004, 3:08pm »
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on Aug 18th, 2004, 10:08am, Jetdoc wrote:
Well, then add 1 to my predictions and you'll have a range...

 
I DIGRESS...
    I know this is in jest, Jet.  Nevertheless, it's inconsistent with the kind of "team" mentality I'm working to foster here and somewhat thwarts my efforts to try to create an identity here in part by way of establishing unique precedents and trademarks for this site vis-a-vis (what goes on at) others.
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